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这周我比较关注的文章是关于目前新西兰房地产市场走向的,文章来源于Newshub:
Housing crisis: Increased supply, slowing price growth could reduce pace of declining affordability in New Zealand
住房危机:供应增加、房价增长放缓可能会减缓新西兰居民购买力下降的步伐

Cutting red tape to allow more density in urban areas will help to make homeownership more attainable for everyday Kiwis, the Housing Minister says.It comes as a OneRoof-Kantar housing survey which polled just over 1000 Kiwis from October 20 to October 27, shows 42 percent of Kiwis want the Government to bring house prices down to pre-COVID-19 levels, compared to 31 percent who disagree.
住房部长说,减少繁文缛节,允许城市地区增加人口密度,将有助于让新西兰人更容易拥有住房。
OneRoof-Kantar在10月20日至10月27日对1000多名新西兰人进行了住房调查。结果显示,42%的新西兰人希望政府将房价降至新冠疫情前的水平,31%的人不同意。

CoreLogic November data shows national property values grew by 28.4 percent over the last year alone, the average property now valued at $987,401. Since the 2007 market peak, property values have more than doubled, rising 138.7 percent nationwide.
CoreLogic公司11月的数据显示,仅去年一年,全国房产价值就增长了28.4%,目前平均房产价值为987,401元。自2007年市场高峰以来,房地产价值翻了一番多,全国范围内上涨了138.7%。
Over 80 percent of Kiwis think house prices in their area are too high – and 68 percent expect affordability of houses to worsen over the next two-to-three years, the poll results showed.
Concerns were most prevalent among people aged 18-39, those living in Auckland and Wellington, and those with household income up to $100,000.
调查结果显示,超过80%的新西兰人认为当地房价过高,68%的人预计未来两到三年内人们的购房能力将会恶化。
在18-39岁、居住在奥克兰和惠灵顿以及家庭收入在10万元以下的人群中,这种担忧最为普遍。

ASB and BNZ are among the banks forecasting small house price falls in 2022. ASB forecasts show a “cumulative fall of 4 percent” over the second half of 2022. A Markets Outlook released by BNZ on November 22 said there were signs rising interest rates and tightened lending conditions had started to affect the housing market.
ASB和BNZ等银行预测,2022年小型住宅价格将下跌。ASB预测,2022年下半年“累计下降4%”。BNZ银行11月22日发布的《市场展望》(Markets Outlook)报告称,有迹象显示,利率上升和贷款条件收紧已开始影响房地产市场。
At best, this would lead to a stalling in house price appreciation. More probably it would result in a “modest correction in prices”, (in the order of 5 percent to 10 percent), BNZ said.
在最好的情况下,这将导致房价上涨的停滞。更有可能的是,它将导致“价格的适度调整”,(大约在5%到10%之间),BNZ说。


根据过去的情况,如果房地产市场投资热度下降,生意投资的愿望就会上升。自从奥克兰实行“红绿灯”系统以来,生意买卖市场的咨询,想了解生意出售的询问也增加了不少。不过目前的咨询还是比较集中在一些受疫情影响较少的生意,比如超市,蔬菜水果店,Dairy店,快餐店,炸鱼薯条,炸鸡店,恢复比较快的咖啡店(郊区,居民区的店),便宜的餐馆,酒铺,洗衣房等等。疫情影响了一大部分的生意,一些商家企业还不得不关门大吉,这也许就是市场的残酷性,但对于某些老板来说,这又可能是一种机会,“抄底”就像房地产市场,股票市场一样,抓住了机会,就有可能“一跃而起”。

现在就有一个这样的机会,一家咖啡店位于AUT校园生活区,年租金$69,000+GST,这次lockdown之前每周五天营业,营业额还有$9,000,因为老板移民澳洲,现只需$120,000+货!随着新西兰国门将开,明年4月以后留学生就可以回来了,(这周澳洲留学生已经回来了第一批),将来生意肯定越来越好,抓住了这次机会,说不定你就可以double 您的投资,这就是本周我为大家推荐的生意!
下周见。
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